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Market Extra: Dow futures rise nearly 200 points Tuesday evening after big regular-session rally on Election Day

U.S. stock-market futures on Tuesday evening tilted higher after a big rally in the regular session and as the votes of hundreds of millions of Americans were being tallied in the crucial election between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden.

Stock investors are betting that a decisive win by Biden, who has been leading in most national polls, could lead to greater fiscal aid for out-of-work Americans and businesses devastated by the worst pandemic in more than 100 years.

But that hoped-for fiscal aid is likely to come only if Democrats also carve out a majority in the Senate and maintain control of their majority in the House, market experts said.

Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average YMZ20, +0.62% YM00, +0.62% were up 185 points, or 0.7%, at 27,574, those for the S&P 500 index ESZ20, +0.59% ES00, +0.59% were trading 21.40 points, or 0.6%, higher at 3,383, while Nasdaq-100 futures NQ00, +0.43% NQZ20, +0.43% added 43.25 points, or 0.4%, at 11,305.25.

An average of national polls from FiveThirtyEight had Biden ahead by 8.4 percentage points on Election Day.

On Tuesday, the stock market closed sharply higher, with the Dow industrials DJIA, +2.06% rallying 554.98 points, or 2.1%, to 27480.03, its biggest one-day point and percentage gain since July 14. The S&P 500 SPX, +1.77% rose 58.92 points, or 1.8%, to 3,369.16. The Nasdaq Composite COMP, +1.85% rose 202.96 points, or 1.9%, to 11,160.57.

It is unclear however, given the size and scope of mail-in votes this year due to the pandemic, that a presidential victor can easily be determined on Election Day or the day after.

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