What just happened?
Of all the indignities wrought by 2020, the constant up-ending of our investing expectations deserves a mention. Just when you think you’ve got it figured out, the on-again, off-again cyclical rotation vanishes through your fingers.
So it was this past week, as financial markets bounced between vaccine euphoria and the cold reality of the next few months.
Energy and energy services caught a bid during the week, reflecting guarded optimism the economy would reopen. So did bitcoin, perhaps emblematic of the reality central banks will play an outsize role in supporting that recovery for the foreseeable future.
Also in the past week, in a small confirmation of the trend we’ve called “the ETF-ication of everything,” Dimensional Fund Advisors announced it would convert six of its existing mutual funds to ETFs.
We’ll publish on Wednesday next week, rather than Thursday. Stay tuned, and thanks for reading.
Long story short…
Are you looking for a way to pick up some income? How about some capital appreciation? What about exposure to alternatives?
A new fund, the Leatherback Long/Short Alternative Yield ETF LBAY,
The new ETF combines long exposure to 30 common stocks that have high “shareholder yield,” in Winter’s words. That’s not just high dividends. It might also include companies that are buying back a lot of stock, for example. And then there are what he calls “opportunistic income producers,” such as corporate bonds, preferred stocks, high-yield ETFs. A final feature is its short exposure, equally weighted across 20 names.
Winter’s aim is for the fund to yield “at least twice the S&P dividend yield,” currently 1.62%, and to pay out monthly. As an actively-managed fund, LBAY will charge a 95-basis-point fee. It launched Tuesday, and Winter expects the first distribution in December.
In an interview, Winter said he’s “been fascinated with the ETF wrapper. I think it’s great to drop an alpha-producing strategy into a tax-efficient wrapper.”
“I liken what we’re doing now to delivering an investment solution in a disruptive format,” he said. “The mutual fund almost seems to me like a dinosaur, like getting the news from a newspaper as opposed to the internet.”
Winter also sees himself distanced from money managers excited by the opportunity to hide their strategy via new actively-managed non-transparent products. “That really frustrates me,” he said. “The ETF wrapper was created for transparency. I’m excited to show all our positions. We welcome feedback and quite frankly I think it might turn up some different ideas on the portfolio. I expect our short book might get eyeballs.”
ETF fans might recognize the notion of crowd-sourcing ideas about a particular strategy. It’s one famously used by ARK Invest’s Cathie Wood.
Is there an ETF for that?
ETFs can help, as you probably already know, in navigating the cyclical rotation, with the presidential election mostly in the rearview, the business cycle beginning anew and the possibility of a vaccine rollout in the not-too-distant future.
There can be a catch, of course: When exactly is the time for rotation? How far in we are? What might be lurking around the corner?
Richard Daskin, who’s managed money for over 25 years, including on his own for the past decade as owner of RSD Advisors, believes he has you covered no matter your thesis. Daskin uses ETFs tactically in his client portfolios and shared some of his thoughts with MarketWatch.
For an overall value ETF, he recommends the iShares Core S&P U.S. Value ETF IUSV,
If you believe that from here on the economy will “bounce back quickly,” as Daskin puts it, his best idea is the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF KRE,
Finally, for industrials, which are both early-cycle and have the advantage of containing airlines, one of the biggest likely beneficiaries of the “re-opening trade,” Daskin likes the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund XLI,
Perhaps more important than any specific securities, however, may be his advice on investing in a changing landscape.
“A lot of times, the worst thing you can do is sit there and say, is this the perfect time? If you sit and wait to find the perfect time, you’ll never find it and you’ll miss it.”
Still, years of investing has taught Daskin that his inclination is to be too early to a trade. That’s made him cautious this year, he said.
“I’ve been scaling into these positions, not taking big bites,” he said. “There’s a decent chance we’ll get a market correction because of the spread of COVID and I’m not ready to go whole-hog on this idea. There will be other good entry points along the way.”
Visual of the week
Weekly rap
Top 5 gainers of the past week | |
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETFXES | 12% |
iShares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services ETF IEZ, | 11.9% |
Invesco Dynamic Oil & Gas Services ETF PXJ, | 9.8% |
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy ETF RYE, | 9.3% |
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF IEO, | 9% |
Source: FactSet, through close of trading Wednesday, November 18, excluding ETNs and leveraged products |
Top 5 losers of the past week | |
Vanguard Utilities ETF VPU, | -1.6% |
Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund XLU, | -1.6% |
Fidelity MSCI Utilities Index ETF FUTY, | -1.4% |
iShares U.S. Utilities ETF IDU, | -1.3% |
Virtus Reaves Utilities ETF UTES, | -1.1% |
Source: FactSet, through close of trading Wednesday, November 18, excluding ETNs and leveraged products |
Top 5 biggest inflows of the past week | |
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETFVTI | $ 2.4 billion |
Vanguard Value ETF VTV, | $ 807.1 million |
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF VOO, | $ 692.3 million |
iShares Russell 2000 ETF IWM, | $ 674.2 million |
Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund XLE, | $ 659.8 million |
Source: FactSet, through close of trading Wednesday, November 18, excluding ETNs and leveraged products |
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